Regardless of worrying polls, the outgoing majority attempt to keep calm

It is the little music that goes up, up: Are Emmanuel Macron and the presidential majority shedding their legislative marketing campaign? Lower than every week after the primary spherical, the symptoms now not seem like in good situation within the macronia. An occasion in its personal proper for twenty years, and along side the presidential and legislative elections, the election marketing campaign for deputies is a stroll within the park for the sphere that has simply gained the Elysée. Not this 12 months: underneath dialogue, the relative silence of the president and his new authorities, which is struggling to set the tone for his second time period. The method of Emmanuel Macron (“This new individuals, completely different from 5 years in the past, has given a brand new mandate to a brand new President”) launched throughout its inauguration … already a month in the past, doesn’t appear to materialize in apply.

Aside from these in a really quiet boarding college, concern grows considerably among the many majority candidates. “It’s sure that they want to be helped by a nationwide dynamic, blows a collaborator of MoDem, the social gathering of François Bayrou. He was instructed “put Macron’s image in your posters and flyers, and you’ll be carried away by the nationwide dynamic” and certainly … There is no such thing as a dynamic. They really feel a bit of dissatisfied. And this similar collaborator explains the concern of sure candidates at a time when the professions of religion will arrive among the many voters. “After we examine the occupation of religion of the Nupes which guarantees the moon and that of the extra cheap Ensemble, it’s sure that we appear much less spoken. “

It is okay, it is okay

In “we”, nevertheless, all the things goes very nicely for the candidates of the macronie. At Puy-de-Dôme, Valérie Thomas doesn’t really feel “in any respect” the results of the failed marketing campaign at nationwide stage. “The 5 majority candidates within the division are very lively on the bottom: leaflets, limp, markets, public conferences …” “The controversy doesn’t attain us”, assures the deputy of the Var Valérie Gomez-Bassac. The controversy over the appointment to the federal government of Damien Abad, accused of rape by two girls? Not heard. The troublesome week of the federal government after the mismanagement of the move of followers on the Stade de France for the Champions League remaining? Not a lot anymore. “It isn’t good for us, that is for positive”, says Isabelle Florennes herself, however she is a member of the Ile-de-France area and due to this fact extra straight affected. Since you as a complete you say you “do not stay on the bottom what you learn within the nationwide press” concerning the Collectively marketing campaign.

Polls do not inform the identical story. Collectively, the coalition that brings collectively the macronist events, vegetates between 28% and solely 24.5% within the first spherical, in comparison with 32% in 2017. It’s at finest head-to-head with the New Ecological Common Union and Social (NUPES) fashioned by the left … and more often than not a bit of behind. A lot in order that now “the state of affairs during which Collectively doesn’t have an absolute majority within the Nationwide Meeting is sort of doable”, warns Mathieu Gallard, director of research at Ipsos. Even a victory for NUPES «which remains to be a impossible speculation in the intervening time is now not as unthinkable because it was a month in the past. A transfer of some factors within the first spherical and dangerous studies within the second and it might occur. “

Play as Giscard

This example is defined by the virtually absence of a nationwide marketing campaign by the bulk, furthermore denounced by the opposition: “We now have the impression that the technique was to make sure that the marketing campaign didn’t take, what or solely an electoral affirmation,” analyzes Mathieu Gallard. Besides that after we do not discuss this system, the information is controversial: the Abad affair, the Stade de France affair … it dominated the primary weeks of the brand new authorities. inflation remains to be on the rise “and there’s a robust demand from the citizens for an answer on this concern. And the left provides them a program with proposals on the matter. Are they credible? It’s not a lot the query, in any case it occupies area », stings the pollster.

It’s this remark that has begun to vary the macronist technique. Final week, the Majority launched a marketing campaign towards NUPES on social media referred to as “We aren’t deceived” (there’s a pun, if something). “If it’s the consciousness of our scenario, all the higher, however it isn’t sufficient”, defined the MoDem worker talked about above. Any more, even Patrick Mignola, president of the MoDem group within the Meeting, says he fears “an electoral accident”. The Elysée even sends the message that the president thinks {that a} defeat “shouldn’t be inconceivable”. Actual concern or techniques to mobilize your citizens? Perhaps a bit of little bit of each.

It needs to be famous, nevertheless, that Emmanuel Macron wets the shirt a bit of extra by multiplying the journeys: Marseille to schooling and Cherbourg to the hospital final week. In accordance with Point, Thursday the pinnacle of state needs to be in Gaillac, within the Tarn. “The president should ship his speech in Verdun-sur-le-Doubs there,” a majority skilled would have whispered to the weekly. A reference to Valérie Giscard d’Estaing’s speech on the “proper selection based mostly on frequent sense”, just a few weeks earlier than the 1978 legislative elections, on the time introduced misplaced to the precise and finally gained for a short while. That is to say if Emmanuel Macron will play nice within the subsequent few days.

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