Regardless of worrying polls, the outgoing majority attempt to keep calm

It is the little music that goes up, up: Are Emmanuel Macron and the presidential majority dropping their legislative marketing campaign? Lower than every week after the primary spherical, the indications now not look like in good situation within the macronia. An occasion in its personal proper for twenty years, and together with the presidential and legislative elections, the election marketing campaign for deputies is a stroll within the park for the sector that has simply gained the Elysée. Not this 12 months: below dialogue, the relative silence of the president and his new authorities, which is struggling to set the tone for his second time period. The components of Emmanuel Macron (“This new individuals, completely different from 5 years in the past, has given a brand new mandate to a brand new President”) launched throughout its inauguration … already a month in the past, doesn’t appear to materialize in observe.

Apart from these in a really quiet boarding college, concern grows considerably among the many majority candidates. “It’s sure that they wish to be helped by a nationwide dynamic, blows a collaborator of MoDem, the celebration of François Bayrou. He was advised “put Macron’s image in your posters and flyers, and you’ll be carried away by the nationwide dynamic” and certainly … There isn’t any dynamic. They really feel slightly dissatisfied. And this identical collaborator explains the worry of sure candidates at a time when the professions of religion will arrive among the many voters. “Once we evaluate the career of religion of the Nupes which guarantees the moon and that of the extra cheap Ensemble, it’s sure that we appear much less spoken. “

It is okay, it is okay

In “we”, nevertheless, all the things goes very properly for the candidates of the macronie. At Puy-de-Dôme, Valérie Thomas doesn’t really feel “in any respect” the consequences of the failed marketing campaign at nationwide stage. “The 5 majority candidates within the division are very energetic on the bottom: leaflets, limp, markets, public conferences …” “The controversy doesn’t attain us”, assures the deputy of the Var Valérie Gomez-Bassac. The controversy over the appointment to the federal government of Damien Abad, accused of rape by two girls? Not heard. The troublesome week of the federal government after the mismanagement of the move of followers on the Stade de France for the Champions League remaining? Not a lot anymore. “It is not good for us, that is for positive”, says Isabelle Florennes herself, however she is a member of the Ile-de-France area and subsequently extra straight affected. Since you as an entire you say you “do not dwell on the bottom what you learn within the nationwide press” in regards to the Collectively marketing campaign.

Polls do not inform the identical story. Collectively, the coalition that brings collectively the macronist events, vegetates between 28% and solely 24.5% within the first spherical, in comparison with 32% in 2017. It’s at greatest head-to-head with the New Ecological In style Union and Social (NUPES) shaped by the left … and more often than not slightly behind. A lot in order that now “the situation during which Collectively doesn’t have an absolute majority within the Nationwide Meeting is kind of potential”, warns Mathieu Gallard, director of research at Ipsos. Even a victory for NUPES «which remains to be a not possible speculation in the meanwhile is now not as unthinkable because it was a month in the past. A transfer of some factors within the first spherical and dangerous reviews within the second and it may occur. “

Play as Giscard

This example is defined by the just about absence of a nationwide marketing campaign by the bulk, furthermore denounced by the opposition: “We have now the impression that the technique was to make sure that the marketing campaign didn’t take, what or solely an electoral affirmation,” analyzes Mathieu Gallard. Besides that once we do not discuss this system, the information is controversial: the Abad affair, the Stade de France affair … it dominated the primary weeks of the brand new authorities. inflation remains to be on the rise “and there’s a sturdy demand from the voters for an answer on this concern. And the left provides them a program with proposals on the matter. Are they credible? It’s not a lot the query, in any case it occupies house », stings the pollster.

It’s this statement that has begun to vary the macronist technique. Final week, the Majority launched a marketing campaign in opposition to NUPES on social media known as “We aren’t deceived” (there’s a pun, if something). “If it’s the consciousness of our scenario, all the higher, however it isn’t sufficient”, defined the MoDem worker talked about above. Any more, even Patrick Mignola, president of the MoDem group within the Meeting, says he fears “an electoral accident”. The Elysée even sends the message that the president thinks {that a} defeat “isn’t unattainable”. Actual worry or techniques to mobilize your voters? Possibly slightly little bit of each.

It must be famous, nevertheless, that Emmanuel Macron wets the shirt slightly extra by multiplying the journeys: Marseille to schooling and Cherbourg to the hospital final week. In keeping with Point, Thursday the pinnacle of state must be in Gaillac, within the Tarn. “The president should ship his speech in Verdun-sur-le-Doubs there,” a majority skilled would have whispered to the weekly. A reference to Valérie Giscard d’Estaing’s speech on the “proper alternative based mostly on widespread sense”, just a few weeks earlier than the 1978 legislative elections, on the time introduced misplaced to the suitable and finally gained for a short while. That is to say if Emmanuel Macron will play nice within the subsequent few days.

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