who’re probably the most prepared candidates

Lower than every week earlier than the primary spherical of the legislative elections, Réunion La 1ère and SAGIS reveal the voting intentions of voters within the fifth, sixth and seventh constituencies. Are there candidates who stand out clearly? Or does the battle promise to be difficult quite the opposite?

The voters of the Réunion must designate on June 12, in the course of the first spherical of the legislative elections, the candidates who wish to characterize them within the Nationwide Meeting. Outgoing deputies, candidates invested or with out etiquette, are 92 contenders for seven seats of deputy from Reunion.

Réunion La 1ère and SAGIS reveal traits in voting intentions in three of the island’s seven faculties. This survey was carried out between Could 24 and June 3: it signifies the state of the stability of energy about two weeks after the primary spherical. It’s due to this fact not a forecast of the election end result.

See the main points of Philippe Fabing, director of research on the SAGIS institute on Réunion La 1ère:

Evaluation of the SAGIS survey: Philippe Fabing

The outgoing deputy France Insoumise, Jean-Hugues Ratenon, leads the race in his constituency. He thus collects between 30% and 44% of voting intentions, of which just about 66% of intentions are agency.

Three candidates are anticipated to compete for the opposite qualifying spot on this first spherical. Candidates, for whom the voting intentions are shut, significantly for 2 of them, and so they too are comparatively agency. So Ridwane Issa, the get together’s DVG candidate Banyanand Stéphane Fouassin, mayor of Salazie and non-invested UDI candidate, every accumulate between 14% and 25% of the voting intentions.

The third suitor is Laurent Virapoullé, a candidate invested by Renaissance presidential majority get together Collectively !with 6-15% of voting intentions.

The second place due to this fact stays very open. The candidate of nationwide demonstration, Marie-Luce Brasier Clain, closes at most 8% of voting intentions, very removed from her get together’s presidential election scores. For her, as for the opposite 4 subsequent candidates, the second qualifying place stays tough to realize, in response to Philippe Fabing, director of political research at SAGIS.

In whole, 9 candidates are working to be elected deputies within the fifth constituency: Laurent Virapoullé (ENS), Léopoldine Settama-Vidon (DVC), Ridwane Issa (DVG), David Gauvin (COM), Jean-Yves Payet (DXG), Martine Dijoux (DSV), Jean-Hugues Ratenon (FI), Stéphane Fouassin (UDI), Marie-Luce Brasier-Clain (RN).

There are 13 candidates working for the seat of deputy within the sixth constituency, together with the outgoing Nadia Ramassamy. Two weeks earlier than the primary spherical, the poll was significantly undecided.

Nonetheless, two candidates lead: Alexandre Laï-Kane-Cheong, of Imagine and dareit collects between 15% and 27% of the voting intentions, and Monique Orphe, an uninvested socialist candidate, will get between 12.5% ​​and 23.5% of the voting intentions.

They’re adopted by Frédéric Maillot, candidate PLR of the Union of the Reunionese Left, and Eric Leung, an unlabeled candidate on the facet of the presidential majority, Collectively !. Each accumulate between 8% and 18% of voting intentions, ample margin to contemplate the second qualifying place, particularly because the voters questioned don’t present nice firmness of their selection.

Nearly half of voters certain to vote say they will nonetheless change their minds. The extent of firmness due to this fact stays variable in response to the candidates. It’s restricted to 58% for Alexandre Laï-Kane-Cheong and 38% for Monique Orphé.

Be aware, Valérie Legros, candidate for Nationwide Gatheringand Nadia Ramassamy, outgoing MP The Republicans, respectively, get hold of between 5.5% and 14.5% and between 5% and 13% of voting intentions. If the duty appears extra difficult for these two candidates, it will not be inconceivable, believes Philippe Fabing, director of political research at SAGIS.

Given the margins of error and the low charges of firmness of the candidates when it comes to voting intentions, the poll appears significantly open on this faculty.

A complete of 13 candidates are working to be elected deputies within the sixth constituency: Johny Adekalom (DVC), Ophélie Clain (DSV), Monique Orphé (SOC), Valérie Legros (RN), Philippe De Chazournes (DXG), Eric Leung ( ENS), Frédéric Maillot (DVG), Loïc Fanfan (REG), Didier Lombard (DXG), Nadine Gironcel Damour (COM), Alexandre Laï-Kane-Cheong (DXG), Nadia Ramassamy (LR), Jean Noël Hoareau (DXG) .

There will definitely be a change on this information. The outgoing deputy The Republicans, Jean-Luc Poudroux, doesn’t characterize himself. And there are 15 who wish to succeed him.

There are additionally two candidates main the race: Perceval Gaillard, candidate France Insoumise of the Union of the Left of Reunion, and Thierry Robert, a former centrist MP and unlabeled candidate.

Just like the President, the candidate France Insoumise comes out on high of voting intentions, accumulating between 18.5% and 30.5%, of which 72% of agency intentions. Thierry Robert marks his comeback with voting intentions starting from 15% to 26% and a firmness charge of 69%. Scores that permit him to say a spot within the second spherical, however which stay under these we knew him.

Johan Guillou, a candidate with out a label, might be a part of the battle. He actually collects between 8.5% and 18.5% of voting intentions, however he also can boast the assist of the mayors of Saint-Leu and Saint-Louis. Philippe Fabing, director of political research at Sagis, observes that nearly 17.5% of the voters questioned, sure of going to vote, don’t but know who to vote for.

A battle that guarantees to be much more tough for the candidate Renaissance of the presidential majority Collectively !Hélène Coddeville, credited between 7% and 16% of voting intentions and Jean-François Nativel, the DVD candidate of the Rurality motionacquiring between 5% and 13%.

If on this faculty France Insoumise appears to comply with the dynamics of the outcomes of the presidential elections, the Nationwide Gathering appears removed from reaching the scores of final April, observes Philippe Fabing. RN’s candidate, Jonathan Rivière, ranks sixth, with 2.5% to 9.5% of voting intentions.

In whole, 15 candidates are working to be elected deputies within the seventh constituency: Karim Juhoor (DVG), Hélène Coddeville (ENS), Richelain Catherine (DIV), Thierry Robert (DVC), Rémy Massain (RDG), Gaël Velleyen ( REG), Eric Marcely (DSV), Jean François Nativel (DVD), Jonathan Rivière (RN), François Valeama (COM), Isaline Tronc (DVG), Jérôme Bachou (ENS), Perceval Gaillard (DVG), Jean-Luc Payet (DXG), Johan Guillou (DVG).

Discover for the fifth district

Institute: SAGIS
Media: 1st tv – radio – web site assembly
SURVEY CARRIED OUT FOR: Réunion 1ère / France Tv
FIELD DATES: from 24 Could to three June 2022
SAMPLE: 500 individuals who make up a consultant pattern of the faculty inhabitants aged 18 and over, declaring to be registered on the electoral roll.
METHOD: Research carried out by phone, landline and cell.
Quotas: intercourse, age, career of the interviewee, stratification by municipalities and huge INSEE districts in the primary municipalities.
As with every quantitative survey, this research presents outcomes topic to the margins of error inherent in statistical legal guidelines: because of this they’re offered in traits (intervals – (3)). The utmost margin of error on voting intentions is estimated at +/- 7%, with a chance of 95%.
Survey despatched to the Nationwide Investigations Fee and accessible for session by it.

Discover for the sixth district

Institute: SAGIS
Media: 1st tv – radio – web site assembly
SURVEY CARRIED OUT FOR: Réunion 1ère / France Tv
FIELD DATES: from 24 Could to three June 2022
SAMPLE: 500 individuals who make up a consultant pattern of the faculty inhabitants aged 18 and over, declaring to be registered on the electoral roll.
METHOD: Research carried out by phone, landline and cell.
Quotas: intercourse, age, career of the interviewee, stratification by municipalities and huge INSEE districts in the primary municipalities.
As with every quantitative survey, this research presents outcomes topic to the margins of error inherent in statistical legal guidelines: because of this they’re offered in traits (intervals – (3)). The utmost margin of error on voting intentions is estimated at +/- 6%, with a chance of 95%.
Survey despatched to the Nationwide Investigations Fee and accessible for session by it.

Discover for the seventh district

Institute: SAGIS
Media: 1st tv – radio – web site assembly
SURVEY CARRIED OUT FOR: Réunion 1ère / France Tv
FIELD DATES: from 24 Could to three June 2022
SAMPLE: 515 individuals who make up a consultant pattern of the faculty inhabitants aged 18 and over, declaring to be registered on the electoral roll.
METHOD: Research carried out by phone, landline and cell.
Quotas: intercourse, age, career of the interviewee, stratification by municipalities and huge INSEE districts in the primary municipalities.
As with every quantitative survey, this research presents outcomes topic to the margins of error inherent in statistical legal guidelines: because of this they’re offered in traits (intervals – (3)). The utmost margin of error on voting intentions is estimated at +/- 6%, with a chance of 95%.
Survey despatched to the Nationwide Investigations Fee and accessible for session by it.

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